Mortality Among Married Men in Rural Kenya and Malawi: A Life Table Analysis
نویسندگان
چکیده
Data from prospective mortality studies are used to estimate the annual probability of dying among currently married men (20-59) in rural populations with high and moderate HIV prevalence in, respectively, Nyanza Province, Kenya, and in three areas of Malawi. The observed annual probability of dying for males interviewed in an initial wave of each study and then reported as deceased in follow-up interviews is 0.031 in Nyanza and 0.016 in Malawi. Compared to life table estimates for equivalent age groups generated from Kenya’s 1989 census and Malawi’s 1987 census, these results represent a 3-fold increase over 1980s census levels. These changes have reduced life expectancy at age 20 by about 14 years in Nyanza and 7 years in Malawi. Observed mortality is consistent with a younger age of HIV infection in Nyanza. Sample characteristics suggest that these levels underestimate the total effect of AIDS on mortality.
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